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Fixtures
Early Cup Exits and Free Midweeks: Calculating the Draw Effect
Quantifying how a free midweek from an early FA Cup exit can shift February and March EFL stalemate odds for…
Blog
All Articles
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Fixtures
Scottish Non-League Holiday Fixtures: A Selection Protocol
A step-by-step protocol for assessing unfamiliar Highland and Lowland League ties on Boxing Day and New Year coupons, from squad…
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Guides
Does Your Slip Selection Beat Random? A Season-Long Audit
A methodology for testing whether your analytical fixture vetting genuinely outperforms random 8-from-X picks over a 30-week coupon season.
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Guides
Poisson vs Bivariate Modelling: Draw Probability Explained
Plain-English explainer on why standard Poisson underrates low-scoring draws and how bivariate Poisson models correct for it in coupon analysis.
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Predictions
The Table Gap Fallacy: Why Mid-Table Clashes Trap Selectors
Why fixtures between mid-table sides and relegation strugglers routinely produce surprise coupon draws that selectors overlook as predictable.
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Guides
Arthur Ellis and the Golden Age of Saturday Results Telly
How BBC and ITV teatime broadcasts, fronted by referee Arthur Ellis, turned Saturday pools checking into a shared national ritual.
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Predictions
Penalties and Score Draws: A Cross-Division Comparison
Comparing how penalty awards across the Premier League, Championship and Scottish Premiership turn tight leads into coupon-friendly draws.
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Pools Results
Verifying Old Family Pools Dividends: A Step-by-Step Guide
A practical guide to checking historic football pools wins from family archives, covering operator history, surviving records and claim limits.
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Predictions
Caretaker Manager in the Dugout: A 6-Step Coupon Checklist
A six-step vetting routine for deciding whether a caretaker manager produces a cagey draw or a collapse across League One…
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Guides
Starting a Pools Syndicate: Rules, Splits and FAQs
Practical answers on drafting a workplace or pub football pools syndicate agreement, covering unpaid dues, disputed splits and dividend collection.